Saturday, March 13, 2010

ITA Rankings Preview

The ITA Rankings are due this upcoming Tuesday. I was thinking about what they could look like earlier today and what I came up with surprised me. The 11-25 range has been completely turned around. This is my prediction for what they will look like given that Cal Lutheran beats Trinity (TX) later today. If Trinity wins, this could get very messy. A Bowdoin loss to Trinity (TX) on Monday wouldn't complicate things all that much, but it may throw Bowdoin out of the top 20 for the time being.

1. Santa Cruz
2. Wash U
3. Emory
4. Middlebury
5. CMS
6. Kenyon
7. Williams
8. Hopkins
9. Carnegie Mellon
10. Amherst
11. Bowdoin
12. NC Wesleyan
13. Cal Lutheran
14. Kalamazoo
15. Chicago
16. DePauw
17. Trinity (CT)
18. Pomona - Pitzer
19. Salisbury
20. Washington & Lee
21. Mary Washington
22. Redlands
23. Trinity (TX)
24. Vassar
25. Gustavus Adolphus

18-23 is in perfect order based on direct wins. Each of those teams has a win over a team below it. I don't think the top 10 will change and we can see a lot of switching of this order in the coming weeks because there's a lot of tennis coming up. Redlands and Trinity (TX) are #12 and #13 in Pool C, respectively. They've really been hurt during their past few matches and if Trinity (TX) doesn't beat Cal Lu, it's going to be a do or die for them in the conference tournament. I'll have my own power rankings released Monday night and they will look quite different from the ITA rankings, I guarantee that.